“Warnings of chaos are everywhere, even in the nursery. The warning that a kingdom could be lost for the want of a nail can be traced back to the 14th century; the following version of the familiar nursery rhyme was published in Poor’s Richard Almanack in 1758 by Benjamin Franklin:
For want of a nail the shoe was lost,
For want of a shoe the horse was lost,
and for want of a horse the rider was lost,
being overtaken and slain by the enemy,
all for the want of a horse-shoe nail.
We do not seek to explain the seed of instability with chaos, but rather to describe the growth of uncertainty after the initial seed is sown.” (1)
- Leonard Smith. Chaos — A Very Short Introduction. Oxford University Press, 2007.